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Around SBN: Will Rhymes 'Fine' After Being Hit By Pitch And Fainting

The Big East Has Already Been Decided

When GarySJ said that there was a way for everyone in the Big East except UConn to finish 4-3 in conference, I laughed at first, but then I realized that this is exactly the way this season is going to end up, with seven 4-3 teams tripping over each other to "win" the conference.

So lets check out the standings right now:

  1. Pitt                  4-3 (2-0)
  2. Syracuse        5-2 (2-1)
  3. West Virginia  5-2 (1-1)
  4. Louisville        4-3 (1-1)
  5. Rutgers          4-3 (1-1)
  6. Cincinnati       3-4 (1-1)
  7. USF                4-3 (1-2)
  8. Connecticut    3-4 (0-2)

After the jump we will reveal each team's remaining schedule, how they will play out, and who will win the Big East this year.

Star-divide

There has to be one sucker in this whole thing, and since UConn is already 0-2 in conference, their starting QB has been kicked off the team, and their fans are packing it in, they fit the bill. So here's how UConn will lose the rest of their games this year.

  • vs. West Virginia Loss
  • vs. Pitt Loss
  • @ Syracuse Loss
  • vs. Cincinnati Loss
  • @ USF Loss

Here is the remaining schedule and results for USF:

  • vs. Rutgers Win (I'm so happy it turned out this way)
  • @ Louisville Win
  • vs. Pitt Loss
  • @ Miami Loss
  • vs. UConn Win

Cincinnati:

  • vs. Syracuse Win
  • @ West Virginia Loss
  • vs. Rutgers Loss
  • @ UConn Win
  • vs. Pitt Win

Rutgers:

  • @ USF Loss 
  • vs. Syracuse Loss
  • @ Cincinnati Win
  • vs. Louisville Win
  • @ West Virginia Win

Louisville:

  • @ Pitt Win
  • @ Syracuse Win
  • vs. USF Loss
  • vs. West Virginia Win
  • vs. Rutgers Loss

West Virginia:

  • @ UConn Win
  • vs. Cincinnati Win
  • @ Louisville Loss
  • @ Pitt Win
  • vs. Rutgers Loss

Syracuse:

  • @ Cincinnati Loss
  • vs. Louisville Loss
  • @ Rutgers Win
  • vs. UConn Win
  • vs. Boston College Win

And finally Pitt:

  • vs. Louisville Loss
  • @ UConn Win
  • @ USF Win
  • vs. West Virginia Loss
  • @ Cincinnati Loss

I think its fitting that Pitt drops the last two games to finish in a 7-way tie for 1st place. Here are the completed standings

  1. Syracuse          8-4 (4-3)
  2. West Virginia    8-4 (4-3)
  3. USF                  7-5 (4-3)
  4. Rutgers            7-5 (4-3)
  5. Louisville          7-5 (4-3)
  6. Cincinnati         6-6 (4-3)
  7. Pitt                   6-6 (4-3)
  8. UConn             3-9 (0-7)

So congrats to future Big East Champions Syracuse, who wins the tiebreaker over West Virginia due to their win over the Mountaineers last weekend in Morgantown. Pitt goes from 1st to 7th over the last two weeks, and USF has their best finish in the Big East.

Congrats again to Syracuse, and if this actually happens, I'll start playing Powerball that night.

Comment 11 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Oh, it's possible.

Glad you found the proposition interesting.

The great thing about the 7-way tie doomsday scenario is that, other than UConn winning a game, there’s no result that would eliminate it. What Ken suggests is just 1 of 36 ways it could play out. That’s 36 out of 2^19 possibilities, or (36/524288) = 0.00007, or .007 percent. Not likely, mind you, but a lot better than winning the Powerball.

The probability of a 5, 6, or 7-way tie is about 3.8%.

Here’s my estimated probability of each team getting the BCS bid:

Pittsburgh 34%
Syracuse 17%
Louisville 11%
Cincinnati 11%
West Virginia 11%
Rutgers 10%
South Florida 4%
Connecticut 2%

All of this assumes that each game is a 50-50 proposition (hey, if you’ve got a better model for Big East football this season, I’d love to hear it).

Tiebreakers are also a 50-50 proposition. In other words, if a scenario ends in a 3-way tie, I give each team one-third of a BCS invitation. Then I sum the totals.

by GarySJ on Oct 27, 2010 10:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Updated after 10/30 games

Pittsburgh 49%
Syracuse 26%
Rutgers 9% (mostly because they’ve only played two league games)
USF/Louisville/Cincinnati/UConn/West Virginia 3% each

That’s right folks, it’s now 50-50 that we’re going to have Dave Wannstedt representing the league in the BCS game. God help us.

by GarySJ on Oct 31, 2010 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Projecting stats is a scary thing

I’ll sustain from reality for the time being. Besides, FINALLY!! WE BEAT BUTTGERS AGAIN!! Remember when Bonani kicked the game winner between Schianos front teeth?

by Soccer!Steve on Oct 28, 2010 1:08 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

No matter how I did this

We always beat Rutgers.

Voodoo Five
The Toughest Blog in America

by Ken DeCelles on Oct 28, 2010 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think you all will beat Pitt.

Their not exactly a great team this year.

"1 - 2 - Freddy's coming for you, 3 - 4 - Better lock your door, 5 - 6 - Grab your crucifix, 7 - 8 - Better stay up late, 9 - 10 - Never sleep again..."

by Gatorbuc15 on Oct 28, 2010 2:55 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm just saying

It’s not like you all CAN’T beat them. Pitts been slapped around quite a bit this year as well.

"1 - 2 - Freddy's coming for you, 3 - 4 - Better lock your door, 5 - 6 - Grab your crucifix, 7 - 8 - Better stay up late, 9 - 10 - Never sleep again..."

by Gatorbuc15 on Oct 28, 2010 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

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